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Liz Young on Twitter: "The near-term forward spread (i.e. 3mo yields now vs  implied 3mo yields in 18m) is 157bps inverted. That implies a recession  probability within the next 12 months of
Liz Young on Twitter: "The near-term forward spread (i.e. 3mo yields now vs implied 3mo yields in 18m) is 157bps inverted. That implies a recession probability within the next 12 months of

Fed Yield Gauge Points to Rate Cuts for First Time Since '08 - Bloomberg
Fed Yield Gauge Points to Rate Cuts for First Time Since '08 - Bloomberg

Liz Ann Sonders on LinkedIn: Fed's near-term forward spread still in  negative territory but has bounced…
Liz Ann Sonders on LinkedIn: Fed's near-term forward spread still in negative territory but has bounced…

Fed Yield Gauge Points to Rate Cuts for First Time Since '08 - Bloomberg
Fed Yield Gauge Points to Rate Cuts for First Time Since '08 - Bloomberg

The Fed - (Don't Fear) The Yield Curve
The Fed - (Don't Fear) The Yield Curve

Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "The near-term forward curve, highlighted  by yield curve apologist as a much better recession indicator, is now  heavily inverted. Yes, it sent a wrong signal in 1998,
Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "The near-term forward curve, highlighted by yield curve apologist as a much better recession indicator, is now heavily inverted. Yes, it sent a wrong signal in 1998,

The yield curve puzzle: Interpretations of recent fluctuations in US  Treasury yields
The yield curve puzzle: Interpretations of recent fluctuations in US Treasury yields

Near Term Forward Spread - Plan Financial
Near Term Forward Spread - Plan Financial

Using the yield spread to forecast recessions and recoveries
Using the yield spread to forecast recessions and recoveries

The Fed - (Don't Fear) The Yield Curve, Reprise
The Fed - (Don't Fear) The Yield Curve, Reprise

Near-Term Forward Yield Spreads - Thoughtful Finance
Near-Term Forward Yield Spreads - Thoughtful Finance

Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🤓$USD: Inversions of the ED$ curve/near-term  forward spread historically predicts #Fed easing cycles. ED10 vs ED6  "predicts" the #Fed will cut rates by 200bp/annum in a few
Martin Enlund ⚡️🦆🚁 on Twitter: "🤓$USD: Inversions of the ED$ curve/near-term forward spread historically predicts #Fed easing cycles. ED10 vs ED6 "predicts" the #Fed will cut rates by 200bp/annum in a few

The near-term forward spread is signaling a sharp economic downturn – The  Daily Shot
The near-term forward spread is signaling a sharp economic downturn – The Daily Shot

The near-term forward spread is signaling a sharp economic downturn – The  Daily Shot
The near-term forward spread is signaling a sharp economic downturn – The Daily Shot

Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter: "Serious divergence between 10s2s yield spread  (orange), which is nearly inverted, and Fed's near-term forward spread  (blue), which is steepening markedly https://t.co/7oR1eEvBky" / Twitter
Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter: "Serious divergence between 10s2s yield spread (orange), which is nearly inverted, and Fed's near-term forward spread (blue), which is steepening markedly https://t.co/7oR1eEvBky" / Twitter

Inverted bond yields, interest rates, QT, recession. What does it all mean?  should you pay attention? : r/wallstreetbets
Inverted bond yields, interest rates, QT, recession. What does it all mean? should you pay attention? : r/wallstreetbets

This Reliable Economic Indicator Is Still Flashing Green – Frank Hawkins  Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise
This Reliable Economic Indicator Is Still Flashing Green – Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise

Recession fixation is not reflected in forecasts and won't impact rates yet  | Tellimer
Recession fixation is not reflected in forecasts and won't impact rates yet | Tellimer

The Fed - (Don't Fear) The Yield Curve
The Fed - (Don't Fear) The Yield Curve

Yield curve inversion: Understanding the fire alarm | J.P. Morgan Asset  Management
Yield curve inversion: Understanding the fire alarm | J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Alarm! Massive Divergence Between US Treasury Yield Curve And Near-term  Forward Spread (Biden Considers Releasing HUGE Oil Release To Control  Inflation) – Confounded Interest – Anthony B. Sanders
Alarm! Massive Divergence Between US Treasury Yield Curve And Near-term Forward Spread (Biden Considers Releasing HUGE Oil Release To Control Inflation) – Confounded Interest – Anthony B. Sanders

This Reliable Economic Indicator Is Still Flashing Green – Frank Hawkins  Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise
This Reliable Economic Indicator Is Still Flashing Green – Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise